NFL Divisional spherical picks, finest bets


It’s straightforward to have a look at this Saturday afternoon matchup and pencil Kansas Metropolis into the AFC convention championship, the place they’ll face the winner of Ravens-Payments.

The Houston Texans’ offense has been a shell of itself as a consequence of accidents and their offensive line has largely been horrible, posting the fifth-worst yards per carry common (3.8) from Weeks 10-18.

Nonetheless, it’s their defensive position’s matchup with the Chiefs’ offensive line that could possibly be the one to observe.

Houston’s defensive position is by far the highest finest within the NFL, rating first in go rush win price and second in run cease win price, whereas the Chiefs’ offensive line has struggled a bit all through the season.

Texans vs. Chiefs odds

Crew Unfold Moneyline Whole
Texans +8.5 (-110) +375 Over 41.5 (-115)
Chiefs -8.5 (-110) -500 Below 41.5 (-105)
Odds supplied by ESPN BET

Texans vs. Chiefs prediction

(4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Coming in as +350 underdogs Saturday, the Texans are anticipated to roll over whereas their protection hangs on so long as they will.

The Chiefs beat the Texans, 27-19, in Week 16, though that rating is deceiving for the reason that Chiefs kneeled within the pink zone to finish the sport.


Will Anderson Jr. leads a ferocious pass rush for the Texans.
Will Anderson Jr. leads a ferocious go rush for the Texans. Getty Pictures

Texans receiver Tank Dell performed in that sport and, after all, he’s out for the season after struggling a horrific knee harm that week.

Final week towards the Chargers, Houston performed one of the best defensive sport of the season by any staff, rating No. 1 in FTN’s Protection-adjusted worth over common (DVOA).

To ensure that the Texans to be authentic contenders on this sport, C.J. Stroud must develop up earlier than our eyes and launch himself into elite quarterback standing.

Patrick Mahomes has solely misplaced to Tom Brady and Joe Burrow in his NFL playoff profession.


Patrick Mahomes could be running for his life on Saturday.
Patrick Mahomes could possibly be operating for his life on Saturday. Getty Pictures

I believe that the Texans flirt with victory right here, and I fear about Mahomes’ well being in projected very chilly circumstances (highs 20s in Kansas Metropolis).

The Texans’ defensive position is among the many finest we’ve seen in a while, so count on him to be hit lots.


Betting on the NFL?


I’ve the Texans as four-point underdogs on this sport, even whereas acknowledging that the Chiefs are more healthy now than they’ve been all season.

Cornerback Jaylen Watson is anticipated to play and receiver Marquise “Hollywood” Brown look ripe to get loads of reps Saturday.

There’s some worth on the Texans moneyline when you consider in randomness coming in some unspecified time in the future for the Chiefs.

Lets not neglect that the Patriots misplaced to the Jets within the 2010 playoffs behind a ravenous Rex Ryan protection and sport administration from Mark Sanchez.

PICK: Texans +8.5 (-110, Fanatics) | Texans moneyline (+380, ESPN BET)

Why Belief New York Put up Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. Through the soccer season he’s showcased large income at The Put up within the participant prop market the final two seasons. Whereas continually betting lengthy pictures, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.



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